The Washington PostDemocracy Dies in Darkness

Mortgage-rates tumble caused by feeble jobs report, global economic worries

June 9, 2016 at 10:00 a.m. EDT
(Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg)

Mortgage rates reversed course this week, falling for the first time in three weeks, according to the latest data released Thursday by the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp.

Friday’s feeble jobs report, which showed the labor market is far from robust, had most economists predicting that when the Federal Reserve meets next week, it will not raise interest rates. The Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates, but its decisions influence them.

Hiring dropped sharply in May, the weakest in 6 years; unemployment rate fell to 4.7 percent

Global economic concerns — chiefly the United Kingdom’s referendum later this month on whether to remain part of the European Union, or Brexit, as it is commonly known — are also fueling investor worries. Those fears are driving down Treasury yields. After Wednesday’s auction, the 10-year note dipped to its lowest level in two months.

Federal Reserve Chair Yellen calls weak jobs numbers ‘concerning’ but says overall economy is healthy

Home-loan rates, which are closely linked to long-term bonds, retreated as well.

The 15-year fixed-rate average fell to 2.87 percent with an average 0.5 point. It was 2.92 percent a week ago and 3.25 percent a year ago.

The five-year adjustable rate average sank to 2.82 percent with an average 0.5 point. It was 2.88 percent a week ago and 3.01 percent a year ago.

“Growing optimism about the state of the economy was quickly erased with May’s employment report,” Sean Becketti, Freddie Mac chief economist, said in a statement.

“The disappointing release caused an immediate flight to quality resulting in the 10-year Treasury yield dropping 10 basis points on Friday,” he said. “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage responded by falling six basis points to 3.60 percent. This week marks the 10th consecutive week the 30-year rate has averaged under 3.7 percent, allowing an extended window for home buyers to take advantage of these historically low borrowing costs.”

Why prequalified doesn’t always mean you’ll get that mortgage

The drop in rates helped spur mortgage applications this week, according to the latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association.

The market composite index — a measure of total loan application volume — grew 9.3 percent from the previous week. The refinance index climbed 7 percent, while the purchase index jumped 12 percent.

The refinance share of mortgage activity accounted for 53.8 percent of all applications.