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Rising Mortgage Rates Seen Returning Housing Market To More Normal Levels

June 30, 2006

Long Term Mortgage Rates Remain At Four Year Highs

McLean, VA – Findings of Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) Primary Mortgage Market SurveySM (PMMSSM) revealed the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.78 percent, with an average 0.5 point, for the week ending June 29, 2006, up from last week's average of 6.71 percent. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.53 percent. The 30-year FRM has not been higher since May 24, 2002, when it averaged 6.81 percent.

The average for the 15-year FRM this week is 6.43 percent, with an average 0.5 point, up from last week's average of 6.36 percent. A year ago, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.12 percent. The 15-year FRM has not been higher since April 12, 2002, when it averaged 6.49 percent.

Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 6.39 percent this week, with an average 0.5 point, up from last week when it averaged 6.32 percent. A year ago, the five-year ARM averaged 5.06 percent. This is the highest the 5-year ARM has been since Freddie Mac started tracking it on January 6, 2005.

One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 5.82 percent this week, with an average 0.8 point, also up from last week when it averaged 5.75 percent. At this time last year, the one-year ARM averaged 4.24 percent. The 1-year ARM has not been higher since the week ending June 8, 2001, when it averaged 5.85 percent.

(Average commitment rates should be reported along with average fees and points to reflect the total cost of obtaining the mortgage.)

“Financial markets continue to expect more rate hikes by the Fed over the next six months, which has added upward pressure on mortgage rates,” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. “With higher interest rates, the housing market has begun a gradual and orderly reversion towards historical norms. For instance, new construction, home sales and house price appreciation have all been slowing over the past few months.”

The National Mortgage Rate Snapshop
This Week One Week Ago One Year Ago
30-Yr 15-Yr 5-Yr
ARM
1-Yr ARM
6.78 6.34 6.39 5.82
0.5

0.5

0.6 0.8
30-Yr 15-Yr 5-Yr
ARM
1-Yr ARM
6.71 6.36 6.32 5.75
0.5

0.5

0.6 0.8
30-Yr 15-Yr 5-Yr
ARM
1-Yr ARM
5.53 5.12 5.06 4.24
0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7


Source: Freddie Mac



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